{"id":25066,"date":"2026-04-21T22:42:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T22:42:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?p=25066"},"modified":"2026-04-22T00:27:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T00:27:43","slug":"from-the-gulf-to-the-horn-the-radar-corridor-behind-a-regions-changing-weather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?p=25066","title":{"rendered":"From the Gulf to the Horn: The Radar Corridor Behind a Region\u2019s Changing Weather?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"25066\" class=\"elementor elementor-25066\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-563e311b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"563e311b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3b1bbd74 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3b1bbd74\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Radar strikes in the Gulf, shifting rainfall across the Middle East (Persian Gulf) basin, and a growing chain of surveillance installations from Arabia to East Africa are converging into one of the most unusual cross-regional investigations now emerging between West Asia and the Horn.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-af790b9 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"af790b9\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-041e3fc elespare-section-title-elespare-left elementor-widget elementor-widget-title-section\" data-id=\"041e3fc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"title-section.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elespare-widget-title-section title-style-1 elespare-left\">\n\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elespare-widget-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elespare-section-title-before\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elespare-section-title\">Lead: the incident that reopened an old question<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elespare-section-title-after\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eb67f5a elementor-drop-cap-yes elementor-drop-cap-view-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"eb67f5a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;drop_cap&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<blockquote>\n<p><b>Roughly forty days after Iranian strikes reportedly damaged several high-value U.S. radar installations across the Gulf, unusually persistent rainfall began appearing across parts of the Persian Gulf corridor. The timing did not go unnoticed. Analysts in parts of <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Iran<\/span><\/span>\u00a0and the wider Middle East began asking whether the destruction of long-range monitoring systems might reveal a deeper infrastructure layer spanning the Arabian Peninsula to\u00a0<span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Somalia<\/span><\/span>\u2014a corridor where seasonal rainfall has become increasingly unpredictable over the past two decades. What exactly were those installations tracking?<\/b><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b5c859e e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b5c859e\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-85ca497 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"85ca497\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9b56176 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"9b56176\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-20x11.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-25072 jl-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-1024x576.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-20x11.jpg 20w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-1100x619.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-680x383.jpg 680w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1-200x113.jpg 200w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/USA-Radder-1.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a390c62 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"a390c62\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a3b13e5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"a3b13e5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-20x11.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-25070 jl-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-1024x575.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-20x11.jpg 20w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-1024x575.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-1536x862.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-2048x1149.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-1600x898.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-1100x617.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-680x382.jpg 680w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-on-the-Military-Base-200x112.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cecbec6 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"cecbec6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1f73c35 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1f73c35\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p data-start=\"1135\" data-end=\"1409\">The inquiry quickly expanded beyond the Gulf itself. Attention turned toward a broader surveillance arc stretching across the Red Sea and into <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Somalia<\/span><\/span>\u2014a region where rainfall patterns have become increasingly unstable over the past two decades.<\/p>\n<blockquote><b>What began as a battlefield assessment is now evolving into a corridor-scale environmental investigation.<\/b><\/blockquote>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-177e7b3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"177e7b3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-20x15.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-25071 jl-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-1024x768.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-20x15.jpg 20w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-1100x825.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-680x510.jpg 680w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after-200x150.jpg 200w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Radder-before-and-after.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ed0601 elespare-section-title-elespare-left elementor-widget elementor-widget-title-section\" data-id=\"4ed0601\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"title-section.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elespare-widget-title-section title-style-1 elespare-left\">\n\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elespare-widget-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elespare-section-title-before\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elespare-section-title\">A surveillance chain across one of the world\u2019s narrowest maritime gateways<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elespare-section-title-after\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c730a86 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c730a86\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 data-section-id=\"ydxfu9\" data-start=\"1523\" data-end=\"1600\"><span style=\"color: #282828; font-family: Oxygen, Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: 400;\">The Bab el-Mandeb Strait links the Mediterranean trade system to the Indian Ocean energy corridor. Nearly <\/span><strong style=\"color: #282828; font-family: Oxygen, Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 17px;\" data-start=\"1708\" data-end=\"1744\">6 million barrels of oil per day<\/strong><span style=\"color: #282828; font-family: Oxygen, Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: 400;\"> pass through this chokepoint.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1776\" data-end=\"1877\">It is also one of the most intensively monitored air-maritime corridors outside Europe and East Asia.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-59f34f2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"59f34f2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-20x13.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-25078 jl-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-1024x683.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-20x13.png 20w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-1100x733.png 1100w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-680x453.png 680w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM-200x133.png 200w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-02_26_10-AM.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7fcc2b0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7fcc2b0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p data-start=\"1879\" data-end=\"1950\">Key monitoring nodes frequently referenced in regional mapping include:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1952\" data-end=\"2077\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1gcjogl\" data-start=\"1952\" data-end=\"1993\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Camp Lemonnier<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"cgv1px\" data-start=\"1994\" data-end=\"2035\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Manda Bay<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"eyrt5h\" data-start=\"2036\" data-end=\"2077\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Baledogle Airfield<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2079\" data-end=\"2244\">Together, they support persistent surveillance across shipping lanes, airspace routes, and drone navigation corridors linking the Arabian Peninsula with East Africa.<\/p>\n<blockquote><b>Over the past two decades, these installations formed what some analysts now describe as a continuous observation belt spanning arid climate zones from the Gulf to the Horn.<\/b><\/blockquote>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0dc1844 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"0dc1844\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-20x13.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-25086 jl-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-1024x683.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-20x13.png 20w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-1100x733.png 1100w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-680x453.png 680w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM-200x133.png 200w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_08_41-AM.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-362c7c6 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"362c7c6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-22b0748 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"22b0748\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 data-section-id=\"p0y0tn\" data-start=\"2426\" data-end=\"2476\"><u>The timeline overlap investigators are studying<\/u><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2478\" data-end=\"2556\">The emerging investigation does not begin with Somalia\u2019s climate record alone.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2558\" data-end=\"2604\">Instead, it begins with a timeline comparison:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2606\" data-end=\"2620\"><strong data-start=\"2606\" data-end=\"2620\">After 2002<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2621\" data-end=\"2821\">\n<li data-section-id=\"18bufd6\" data-start=\"2621\" data-end=\"2701\">expansion of long-range surveillance infrastructure along the Red Sea corridor<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"hy1p2r\" data-start=\"2702\" data-end=\"2758\">establishment of permanent monitoring hubs in Djibouti<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1kxspzs\" data-start=\"2759\" data-end=\"2821\">growth of drone aviation routes across Yemen and East Africa<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2823\" data-end=\"2848\"><strong data-start=\"2823\" data-end=\"2848\">After the early 2000s<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2849\" data-end=\"3012\">\n<li data-section-id=\"16lpv32\" data-start=\"2849\" data-end=\"2896\">rainfall variability increased across Somalia<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1iqjnqc\" data-start=\"2897\" data-end=\"2945\">drought clustering intensified across the Horn<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1gei9qi\" data-start=\"2946\" data-end=\"3012\">flood reversals began occurring more frequently after dry cycles<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"3014\" data-end=\"3130\">The overlap between these timelines is now being examined as a potential research question rather than a conclusion.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1dazoiv\" data-start=\"3137\" data-end=\"3203\">Somalia\u2019s rainfall totals stayed stable\u2014but its seasons changed<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3205\" data-end=\"3272\">Somalia receives approximately <strong data-start=\"3236\" data-end=\"3271\">250\u2013300 mm of rainfall annually<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3274\" data-end=\"3304\">That number has not collapsed.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3306\" data-end=\"3346\">What changed instead was predictability.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3348\" data-end=\"3370\">Since the early 2000s:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"3372\" data-end=\"3496\">\n<li data-section-id=\"3l4dvv\" data-start=\"3372\" data-end=\"3401\">drought intervals shortened<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"12xq5sf\" data-start=\"3402\" data-end=\"3429\">recovery seasons weakened<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1d17tux\" data-start=\"3430\" data-end=\"3457\">flood intensity increased<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"qgt0sp\" data-start=\"3458\" data-end=\"3496\">rainfall onset shifted unpredictably<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"3498\" data-end=\"3625\">Between <strong data-start=\"3506\" data-end=\"3523\">2020 and 2023<\/strong>, Somalia experienced <strong data-start=\"3545\" data-end=\"3586\">five consecutive failed rainy seasons<\/strong>, the longest sequence in four decades.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3627\" data-end=\"3709\">Within months, major flooding followed along the Shabelle and Jubba river systems.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3711\" data-end=\"3811\">Researchers now describe this pattern as oscillating climate instability rather than gradual drying.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"eb4c1g\" data-start=\"3818\" data-end=\"3874\">The Shabelle\u2013Jubba basin: Somalia\u2019s climate barometer<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3876\" data-end=\"3981\">Southern Somalia provides one of the clearest indicators of rainfall timing change in the Horn of Africa.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3983\" data-end=\"4029\">Historically dependent on two seasonal cycles:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"4031\" data-end=\"4074\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1690xq2\" data-start=\"4031\" data-end=\"4048\">Gu (April\u2013June)<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"12ae0vh\" data-start=\"4049\" data-end=\"4074\">Deyr (October\u2013December)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"4076\" data-end=\"4140\">the basin supported the majority of Somalia\u2019s cereal production.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4142\" data-end=\"4148\">Today:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4150\" data-end=\"4258\">planting windows shift unpredictably<br data-start=\"4186\" data-end=\"4189\">river levels fluctuate sharply<br data-start=\"4219\" data-end=\"4222\">seasonal forecasts fail more often<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4260\" data-end=\"4367\">The change affects millions of farmers whose livelihoods depend not on rainfall volume\u2014but rainfall timing.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"hyfbh0\" data-start=\"4374\" data-end=\"4429\">Similar patterns appear elsewhere along the corridor<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"4431\" data-end=\"4528\">Somalia is not the only region experiencing rainfall instability across the Red Sea climate belt.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4530\" data-end=\"4554\">Across the same decades:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4556\" data-end=\"4848\">western <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Iran<\/span><\/span> recorded extended drought cycles<br data-start=\"4634\" data-end=\"4637\">river systems in <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Iraq<\/span><\/span> showed declining flow reliability<br data-start=\"4725\" data-end=\"4728\">agricultural zones in <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Syria<\/span><\/span> experienced rainfall collapse prior to conflict escalation<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4850\" data-end=\"4982\">Each lies within the same atmospheric transition zone linking the Indian Ocean moisture system to Mediterranean weather circulation.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4984\" data-end=\"5071\">Investigators are increasingly examining these regions together rather than separately.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1bx3mey\" data-start=\"5078\" data-end=\"5152\">The Bab el-Mandeb corridor as both logistics route and observation zone<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"5154\" data-end=\"5223\">The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is often described as a maritime chokepoint.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5225\" data-end=\"5362\">Less frequently discussed is its role as an airspace monitoring corridor linking multiple surveillance platforms across three continents.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5364\" data-end=\"5454\">From Djibouti\u2019s coastline to Yemen\u2019s western escarpment, layered monitoring systems track:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5456\" data-end=\"5546\">commercial shipping<br data-start=\"5475\" data-end=\"5478\">missile trajectories<br data-start=\"5498\" data-end=\"5501\">drone movement<br data-start=\"5515\" data-end=\"5518\">regional airspace activity<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5548\" data-end=\"5718\">Within emerging analytical discussions, this corridor is now also being examined as an atmospheric transition zone connecting West Asian and East African climate systems.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"11qyp67\" data-start=\"5725\" data-end=\"5774\">The withdrawal years that raised new questions<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"5776\" data-end=\"5907\">Between <strong data-start=\"5784\" data-end=\"5801\">2017 and 2021<\/strong>, during shifts in U.S. deployment posture inside Somalia, rainfall patterns followed a striking sequence:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5909\" data-end=\"6091\">2017 \u2014 severe drought<br data-start=\"5930\" data-end=\"5933\">2018 \u2014 flood recovery<br data-start=\"5954\" data-end=\"5957\">2019 \u2014 above-average vegetation growth<br data-start=\"5995\" data-end=\"5998\">2020 \u2014 rainfall decline resumes<br data-start=\"6029\" data-end=\"6032\">2021 \u2014 start of the longest drought cycle in four decades<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"6093\" data-end=\"6273\">Researchers studying corridor-scale climate variability consider this period a data point within a longer timeline stretching back to the early 2000s rather than an isolated event.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"5wzur5\" data-start=\"6280\" data-end=\"6330\">Temperature increases amplified seasonal stress<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"6332\" data-end=\"6415\">Somalia\u2019s average temperature has increased by approximately <strong data-start=\"6393\" data-end=\"6414\">1.7 \u00b0C since 1970<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"6417\" data-end=\"6543\">Even where rainfall totals remain stable, higher evaporation reduces soil moisture retention and intensifies drought severity.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"6545\" data-end=\"6670\">This interaction between warming and rainfall timing change complicates efforts to interpret climate signals across the Horn.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ac9dc44 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"ac9dc44\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-20x13.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-25094 jl-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-1024x683.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-20x13.png 20w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-1100x733.png 1100w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-680x453.png 680w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM-200x133.png 200w, https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-03_25_13-AM.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d69fe7b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d69fe7b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 data-section-id=\"x85koh\" data-start=\"6677\" data-end=\"6731\">Why the Gulf radar strikes changed the conversation<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"6733\" data-end=\"6880\">The destruction of radar systems during escalation involving Iran shifted attention from climate variability alone toward infrastructure geography.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"6882\" data-end=\"6974\">Analysts began mapping where major surveillance systems operate across the Red Sea corridor.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"6976\" data-end=\"7024\">That mapping produced an unexpected observation:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7026\" data-end=\"7131\">many of the regions experiencing the strongest rainfall instability lie beneath the same observation arc.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7133\" data-end=\"7167\">This does not establish causation.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7169\" data-end=\"7228\">But it explains why the question is now being investigated.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1x5wacl\" data-start=\"7235\" data-end=\"7278\">A corridor-scale comparison now underway<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"7280\" data-end=\"7399\">Rather than examining individual countries separately, analysts are increasingly comparing rainfall variability across:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7401\" data-end=\"7474\">western Iran<br data-start=\"7413\" data-end=\"7416\" \/>Mesopotamia<br data-start=\"7427\" data-end=\"7430\" \/>the Arabian Peninsula<br data-start=\"7451\" data-end=\"7454\" \/>the Horn of Africa<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7476\" data-end=\"7583\">Each sits along the same atmospheric transport pathway linking the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean basin.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"eq3jmc\" data-start=\"7590\" data-end=\"7643\">The unanswered questions shaping the investigation<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"7645\" data-end=\"7684\">No single dataset explains the pattern.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7686\" data-end=\"7730\">No single installation defines the corridor.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7732\" data-end=\"7773\">And no single country sits at its center.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7775\" data-end=\"7807\">Instead, researchers are asking:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7809\" data-end=\"7890\">Did rainfall variability increase simultaneously across the Red Sea climate belt?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7892\" data-end=\"7980\">Did surveillance infrastructure expand across the same corridor during the same decades?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"7982\" data-end=\"8058\">Does geography explain the overlap\u2014or does the overlap require deeper study?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"8060\" data-end=\"8088\">These questions remain open.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"g9byf4\" data-start=\"8095\" data-end=\"8137\">A regional investigation just beginning<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"8139\" data-end=\"8369\">From Tehran to Mogadishu, analysts are now examining whether the Red Sea\u2013Arabian surveillance corridor coincides with zones experiencing some of the fastest changes in seasonal rainfall predictability anywhere in the Global South.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"8371\" data-end=\"8450\">For now, the destruction of radar systems in the Gulf has not closed the story.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"8452\" data-end=\"8474\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">It may have opened it.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Radar strikes in the Gulf, shifting rainfall across the Middle East (Persian Gulf) basin, and a growing chain of surveillance installations from Arabia to East Africa are converging into one of the most unusual cross-regional investigations now emerging between West Asia and the Horn. Lead: the incident that reopened an old question Roughly forty days [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25067,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[50,71,85,70,75,87],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dalka360-civic-affairs","category-eac","category-me","category-premium-articles","category-so","category-world"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM.png",1536,1024,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-300x200.png",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-768x512.png",768,512,true],"large":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-1024x683.png",1024,683,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM.png",1536,1024,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM.png",1536,1024,false],"cvmm-medium":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-300x300.png",300,300,true],"cvmm-medium-plus":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-305x207.png",305,207,true],"cvmm-portrait":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-400x600.png",400,600,true],"cvmm-medium-square":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-600x600.png",600,600,true],"cvmm-large":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-1024x1024.png",1024,1024,true],"cvmm-small":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-130x95.png",130,95,true],"bopea_large":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM.png",1536,1024,false],"bopea_medium":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-1100x733.png",1100,733,true],"bopea_layouts":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-680x453.png",680,453,true],"bopea_small":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-200x133.png",200,133,true],"bopea_large_sload":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-20x13.png",20,13,true],"bopea_medium_sload":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-20x13.png",20,13,true],"bopea_layouts_sload":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-20x13.png",20,13,true],"bopea_small_sload":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-20x13.png",20,13,true]},"author_info":{"info":["Ssonko Abasi"]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=50\" rel=\"category\">Dalka360<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=71\" rel=\"category\">East African Community<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=85\" rel=\"category\">Middle East<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=70\" rel=\"category\">Premium Article<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=75\" rel=\"category\">Somalia<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=87\" rel=\"category\">World<\/a>","tag_info":"World","comment_count":"0","wpmagazine_modules_lite_featured_media_urls":{"thumbnail":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-150x150.png",150,150,true],"cvmm-medium":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-300x300.png",300,300,true],"cvmm-medium-plus":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-305x207.png",305,207,true],"cvmm-portrait":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-400x600.png",400,600,true],"cvmm-medium-square":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-600x600.png",600,600,true],"cvmm-large":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-1024x1024.png",1024,1024,true],"cvmm-small":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM-130x95.png",130,95,true],"full":["https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-22-2026-01_32_43-AM.png",1536,1024,false]},"categories_names":{"50":{"name":"Dalka360","link":"https:\/\/lexicopress.com\/?cat=50"},"71":{"name":"East 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